Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2.919165 3.436567 3.987608 4.614976 5.306269 6.041714 6.880210
2025-01-12 2.132039 2.831785 3.634915 4.610997 5.751492 7.028966 8.554914
2025-01-19 1.554013 2.330011 3.287451 4.522114 6.039254 7.811815 10.008097
2025-01-26 1.212470 2.037860 3.125317 4.600682 6.489754 8.771228 11.677890
2025-02-02 0.960426 1.806454 2.992811 4.677777 6.913496 9.689706 13.308062
2025-02-09 0.713761 1.525947 2.745348 4.561756 7.059418 10.245804 14.489472
2025-02-16 0.527587 1.292882 2.524884 4.446740 7.178800 10.750630 15.599743
2025-02-23 0.409379 1.143759 2.404343 4.451830 7.445532 11.439304 16.946118
2025-03-02 0.302266 0.983590 2.239490 4.368367 7.572020 11.933171 18.039200
2025-03-09 0.256326 0.935089 2.251936 4.550611 8.077033 12.941671 19.820364
2025-03-16 0.196128 0.834367 2.156880 4.550770 8.309553 13.576979 21.112163
2025-03-23 0.171292 0.812416 2.201522 4.776239 8.879321 14.686436 23.053895
2025-03-30 0.144637 0.778617 2.222667 4.968991 9.415292 15.774170 25.006140
2025-04-06 0.113423 0.718312 2.182992 5.054449 9.789111 16.641509 26.675372
2025-04-13 0.079537 0.629360 2.069620 5.000755 9.941113 17.192657 27.917779
2025-04-20 0.061522 0.586080 2.046891 5.103925 10.339609 18.102832 29.666808
2025-04-27 0.046638 0.544384 2.020350 5.195488 10.718525 18.987684 31.389043
2025-05-04 0.028224 0.463954 1.886964 5.074845 10.745005 19.351871 32.382963
2025-05-11 0.015686 0.392866 1.760126 4.952951 10.759307 19.692309 33.342359
2025-05-18 0.009425 0.351360 1.701737 4.959255 10.984421 20.348393 34.755612
2025-05-25 0.004364 0.299448 1.601201 4.869792 11.039966 20.745338 35.799149
2025-06-01 0.003162 0.293735 1.637144 5.066090 11.592199 21.906650 37.956417
2025-06-08 0.001363 0.261510 1.583161 5.066341 11.800900 22.542297 39.358051